Venezia FC vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Q: Venezia FC vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Prediction markets currently price this at 19%. A YES share costs 19.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 426.3% over 6h.

Venezia FC vs. Modena FC 2018 - More Markets$9k liquidity$0 volumecloses 6h

SportsGamesSoccerCoppa Italia

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 19.0¢
Implied chance: 19.0%
Return if right: 426.3%
Spread cost: 10%

If you put in $100

You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.

YES wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $45.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $471.43.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 84.0¢
Implied chance: 84.0%
Return if right: 19.0%
Spread cost: 10%

If you put in $100

You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.

NO wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $21.21.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 15, 12:44 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Venezia FC vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score in First …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

In the upcoming Coppa Italia game between Venezia FC and Modena FC 2018, scheduled for August 15 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Venezia FC and Modena FC 2018 each score at least one goal during the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score in the first half (i.e., if one or both teams finish the first half with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/en/coppa-italia