ICE Agent charged in Maine incident by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 12.0¢
- Implied chance
- 12.0%
- Return if right
- 733.3%
- Spread cost
- 19%
If you put in $100
You get 833.3 shares at 12.0¢ each.
YES wins: $833.33 back, a profit of $733.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $166.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.0¢
- Implied chance
- 92.0%
- Return if right
- 8.7%
- Spread cost
- 22%
If you put in $100
You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.
NO wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $11.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Watch: ICE agent points gun at woman in Virginia, claims she almost ran him over with carCBS News · 15h ago
- BBC Verify speaks to woman who filmed ICE agent pointing gun at herBBC News · 19h ago
- Virginia woman says ICE agent pointed gun at her, denies trying to run over agentsABC News · 2d ago
- ICE Agent Who Pushed Activist to the Ground Near Chicago Pleads GuiltyThe New York Times · 2d ago
- Video shows ICE agent pull gun on Virginia woman who yelled at agents in parking lotNBC News · 2d ago
- Minnesota prosecutor asks Texas to extradite ICE agent to face charges in shooting caseThe Washington Post · 8d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “ICE Agent charged in Maine incident by August 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any Immigration and Customs Enforcement employee for their involvement in the shooting of Joan Sebastian Guerrero in Biddeford, Maine by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.