Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 19.0¢
- Implied chance
- 19.0%
- Return if right
- 426.3%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.
YES wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $40.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $466.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 83.7¢
- Implied chance
- 83.7%
- Return if right
- 19.5%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 119.5 shares at 83.7¢ each.
NO wins: $119.47 back, a profit of $19.47. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $21.43.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.