Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 11?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 09:51 PM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Martin McDonagh, Werner Herzog, Cody Fern Films Round Out 2026 Toronto Fest LineupThe Hollywood Reporter · 8h ago
- Chris Rock, ‘Heated Rivalry’s’ Hudson Williams to Keynote Toronto Film FestivalThe Hollywood Reporter · 8h ago
- Jeremy Irons, Keke Palmer, Alan Cumming and More Attached to Projects Launching at Toronto MarketVariety · 1d ago
- Pragda Snags Nicolás Pereda’s ‘Everything Else Is Noise’ Ahead of Toronto and New York Film Festival Premieres (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 4d ago
- Be For Films Acquires Ione Hernández Sáenz’s ‘Sisters’ Ahead of Toronto Premiere (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 5d ago
- Toronto police arrest two in US Consulate shooting investigationAl Jazeera · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 11…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ
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