Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 10?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 09:44 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Typhoon Dolphin: more than a million people evacuated in China as record rainfall dumped on ShanghaiThe Guardian · 19h ago
- Shanghai Tackles Chronic Land Lease Issue In Commercial PropertyBloomberg · 4d ago
- DeepSeek invests $20.8 million in Unitree's Shanghai IPOYahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Trump beats Wilson to clinch second Shanghai crownBBC Sport · 8d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 1…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD
Other outcomes in Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on August 10?
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 10?
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- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 10?
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 10?
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on August 10?
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 10?
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 10?