Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on August 20?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 21, 03:37 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Andersen adds MD to state and local tax practice in San FranciscoYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- San Francisco's Median Rent for 2-Bedroom Apartment Tops $6K a Month for the First Time, Up Nearly 26% From Year BeforeYahoo Finance · 9d ago
- Legendary Further bus to make historic return to San Francisco as part of art exhibitionCBS News · 9d ago
- Longtime San Francisco nonprofit will close as city gets tougher on crimeThe Washington Post · 13d ago
- San Francisco dad questioned by park rangers for teaching his own kids tennis at public courtFox News · 13d ago
- Roddy White questions 49ers’ handling of Brandon Aiyuk as receiver's future in San Francisco remains unclearFox News · 16d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or hig…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO
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