Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 22?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.7¢
- Implied chance
- 0.7%
- Return if right
- 14185.7%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 14285.7 shares at 0.7¢ each.
YES wins: $14285.71 back, a profit of $14185.71. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10714.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $24900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 75%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.40.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 22, 12:35 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Sydney Marathon medal mistakenly depicts Munich stadiumBBC Sport · 5h ago
- Bayern Munich’s Musiala collapsed on-field as a result of medication changeAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- Munich prosecutors close fatal 1970 antisemitic arson caseDeutsche Welle · 2d ago
- Bernadette Amani 'living her dream' at Bayern MunichDeutsche Welle · 2d ago
- Munich Re to acquire cyber insurtech company At-Bay for $575mYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Bayern Munich's Jamal Musiala collapses on pitch againDeutsche Welle · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 22?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM
Other outcomes in Highest temperature in Munich on August 22?
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or below on August 22?
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 22?
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 22?
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 22?
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on August 22?
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 22?
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 22?
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 22?
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 22?
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 22?