Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 18?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
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Latest: Aug 18, 09:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ukraine targets Moscow with drones as Russia threatens U.K. over supportCBS News · 8h ago
- Ukraine launches 637 drones toward Moscow, mayor says, with Wildberries facility hitABC News · 13h ago
- Ukraine aims a drone blitz at Moscow while Russian missiles kill 10 in a UkraineABC News · 14h ago
- Ukraine launches over 600 drones at Moscow regionFrance 24 · 14h ago
- Moscow threat of ‘consequences’ will not alter UK support for Ukraine, says BurnhamThe Guardian · 16h ago
- Russian strikes kill 10 in Kharkiv as Ukrainian drones hit MoscowAl Jazeera · 17h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 18?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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