Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 16?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 16, 09:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Largest Ukrainian drone attack on Russia, Moscow says 822 drones shot downAl Jazeera · 7h ago
- Ukrainian drone attack on Russia kills at least six, says MoscowThe Guardian · 11h ago
- Major Ukrainian strike on Moscow sets Wildberries hub ablaze, grounds flightsABC News · 12h ago
- Moscow says 600 drones targeted region overnightDeutsche Welle · 14h ago
- Ukraine targets Moscow in mass drone attack as Russia bombards KyivAl Jazeera · 18h ago
- Ukraine hits Russian Starlink-style network, Moscow tracks arms packageAl Jazeera · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 16?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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