Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 44°C or higher on August 18?
This market has closed. No won.
Before it closed the market gave that outcome 99.8%.
There is nothing left to trade here. The prices Polymarket still shows are the settlement, not an opinion about what might happen.
Latest: Aug 18, 10:00 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ceuta: Madrid to transfer 500 vulnerable youths to mainlandDeutsche Welle · 8h ago
- Mourinho fires Real Madrid shot at Barcelona saying he ‘didn’t need’ RodriAl Jazeera · 14h ago
- Jose Mourinho returns to Real Madrid in closed-door ceremonyAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- Real Madrid officially present Mourinho in bizarre closed-door ceremonyAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- La Liga: Real Madrid key talking points heading into new 2026-27 seasonAl Jazeera · 4d ago
- Man City tight-lipped on Rodri transfer amid Barcelona and Real Madrid linkAl Jazeera · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 44°C or higher on …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD
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