Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on August 20?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 21, 03:35 AM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bryson DeChambeau & hockey goalie Mikayla Demaiter dating rumors heat up, tarps off in Chicago & NFL tensionFox News · 2d ago
- Chicago Atlantic (REFI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Chicago Cubs favored on the run line as White Sox bullpen faces serious availability concernsFox News · 3d ago
- Chicago found millions for migrants. Why are its own children being left behind?Fox News · 3d ago
- Maridea expands Chicago footprint with Park Ridge Financial purchaseYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Suburban Chicago carrier files for Chapter 7 bankruptcyYahoo Finance · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88°F or higher on…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD
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