Greenland snap election called by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 11.0¢
- Implied chance
- 11.0%
- Return if right
- 809.1%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 909.1 shares at 11.0¢ each.
YES wins: $909.09 back, a profit of $809.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $43.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $852.38.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 90.0¢
- Implied chance
- 90.0%
- Return if right
- 11.1%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 111.1 shares at 90.0¢ each.
NO wins: $111.11 back, a profit of $11.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $11.73.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- US war on Iran: Trump will ‘declare victory and go home’, embracing the ‘Greenland option’France 24 · 1h ago
- Why does Greenland matter to the US?Al Jazeera · 9h ago
- Why Greenland and Denmark agreed to a deal with TrumpCBS News · 15h ago
- Trump Once Vowed to ‘Own’ Greenland. He Settled for Something Much Less.The New York Times · 1d ago
- Trump signs 'tremendous' Greenland security dealDeutsche Welle · 1d ago
- US signs ‘tremendous’ security deal with Denmark and GreenlandAl Jazeera · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Greenland snap election called by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.