Graham Platner charged by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.5¢
- Implied chance
- 7.5%
- Return if right
- 1233.3%
- Spread cost
- 38%
If you put in $100
You get 1333.3 shares at 7.5¢ each.
YES wins: $1333.33 back, a profit of $1233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $771.93 of that profit. Without it you would make $2005.26.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 59%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- LA socialist's fumbled answer to Graham Platner question draws groans from Dem audienceFox News · 1mo ago
- Resurfaced assault report puts Dem Senate nominee in GOP crosshairs: 'Graham Platner 2.0'Fox News · 1mo ago
- Graham Platner to speak at Maine rally in return to public eyeThe Washington Post · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Graham Platner charged by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Graham Platner between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.