Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 36.7¢
- Implied chance
- 36.7%
- Return if right
- 172.5%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 272.5 shares at 36.7¢ each.
YES wins: $272.48 back, a profit of $172.48. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $180.90.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 65.5¢
- Implied chance
- 65.5%
- Return if right
- 52.7%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 152.7 shares at 65.5¢ each.
NO wins: $152.67 back, a profit of $52.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 28, 07:38 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Can Trump really rename Lake Ontario, ‘Lake America’?Al Jazeera · 5h ago
- Trump declares Lake Ontario to now be "Lake America" amid Canada tariff tiffCBS News · 6h ago
- US-CANADA: Trump signs order renaming Lake Ontario to ‘Lake America’France 24 · 7h ago
- Trump orders Lake Ontario renamed ‘Lake America’NBC News · 20h ago
- What Trump's renaming of Lake Ontario to "Lake America" means in practiceCBS News · 20h ago
- Scoop: Democrats plan bill to counter Trump order renaming Lake Ontario to "Lake America"Axios · 22h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Changes which appear only in experimental features, beta versions, or subnational regional variants, will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If both "Lake America" and "Lake Ontario" are used to label the body of water, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be Google Maps (maps.google.com) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.