First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 89.1¢
- Implied chance
- 89.1%
- Return if right
- 12.2%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 112.2 shares at 89.1¢ each.
YES wins: $112.23 back, a profit of $12.23. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.34 of that profit. Without it you would make $13.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 13.0¢
- Implied chance
- 13.0%
- Return if right
- 669.2%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 769.2 shares at 13.0¢ each.
NO wins: $769.23 back, a profit of $669.23. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $67.59 of that profit. Without it you would make $736.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Georgia college student miraculously survives 8-story plunge after metal bench breaks her fallFox News · 2d ago
- GOP doubts grow over Senate wins in Georgia and North CarolinaABC News · 2d ago
- Jon Ossoff is fundraising for Georgia Democrats. It’s a bet for his party’s future — and his own.Politico · 2d ago
- University of Georgia student dancing on couch near window falls 8 stories and survivesNBC News · 3d ago
- Georgia Gov. Kemp suspends state gas tax for 30 daysThe Hill · 4d ago
- Keisha Lance Bottoms on running Atlanta during COVID, her race for Georgia governorCBS News · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Governor election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Governor election.