Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.4¢
- Implied chance
- 0.4%
- Return if right
- 24900.0%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 25000.0 shares at 0.4¢ each.
YES wins: $25000.00 back, a profit of $24900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3571.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $28471.43.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 14%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.35.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Fetterman says he 'can't compete' with Piker: 'Base loves him'The Hill · 6d ago
- Senate Democrats, minus Fetterman, urge Hegseth to provide receipt for Iran war costsThe Hill · 6d ago
- Fetterman attended retreat with Fox News executives in MontanaThe Hill · 8d ago
- Fetterman again says he's 'not going to be a Republican' following RNC convention video appearanceThe Hill · 8d ago
- ‘I’m not going to be a Republican!’: John Fetterman promises, again, not to defectNBC News · 8d ago
- How Republicans secretly got Fetterman for their conventionAxios · 10d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.