Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.9¢
- Implied chance
- 6.9%
- Return if right
- 1349.3%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 1449.3 shares at 6.9¢ each.
YES wins: $1449.28 back, a profit of $1349.28. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $849.58 of that profit. Without it you would make $2198.85.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.2¢
- Implied chance
- 98.2%
- Return if right
- 1.8%
- Spread cost
- 60%
If you put in $100
You get 101.8 shares at 98.2¢ each.
NO wins: $101.83 back, a profit of $1.83. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.55.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- McCormick praises Fetterman’s willingness to ‘call out the craziness’ in Democratic PartyThe Hill · 23h ago
- Fetterman 'dares' El-Sayed to stick with Piker, claims Michigan nominee has 'little man syndrome energy'Fox News · 1d ago
- Fetterman wins praise for 'guts' after going toe-to-toe with Jon Stewart over Israel supportFox News · 4d ago
- Fetterman pushes El-Sayed to continue campaigning with Piker: 'I dare you'The Hill · 4d ago
- Fetterman answers whether he'll cross the aisle to confirm Trump AG nominee Todd BlancheFox News · 4d ago
- Fetterman to oppose Blanche's nomination to head Justice DepartmentThe Hill · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.