Will Fernando Alonso win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 29.0¢
- Implied chance
- 29.0%
- Return if right
- 244.8%
- Spread cost
- 57%
If you put in $100
You get 344.8 shares at 29.0¢ each.
YES wins: $344.83 back, a profit of $244.83. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $321.84 of that profit. Without it you would make $566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 94%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16.64 of that profit. Without it you would make $17.65.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Fernando Alonso14.5%
- Oscar Piastri8.0%
- George Russell8.5%
- Max Verstappen9.0%
- Charles Leclerc11.5%
- Lando Norris17.0%
Latest: Aug 18, 10:23 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- OpenAI Just Hit a $40 Billion Run Rate. So Why Are Its Top Executives Sprinting for the Exit Before the IPO?Yahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Would more sprint races be a positive change for Formula 1?BBC Sport · 5d ago
- Britain's Hunt sprints to European 100m goldBBC Sport · 8d ago
- Cogent Communications Sees Wavelength Gains but Slower Sprint Integration PayoffYahoo Finance · 8d ago
- Mauritian rider Le Court sprints to stage 6 Women's Tour de France winFrance 24 · 12d ago
- Moderna Dives Despite Hard-Fought FDA Win; Will Its Sprint Restart?Yahoo Finance · 12d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Fernando Alonso win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Gra…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This is a polymarket on the driver who wins the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 22, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 29, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with winning the Sprint as published by the FIA. If the Sprint is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Other outcomes in Dutch Grand Prix: Sprint Winner
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
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