Epstein client list released by October 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 10.0¢
- Implied chance
- 10.0%
- Return if right
- 900.0%
- Spread cost
- 49%
If you put in $100
You get 1000.0 shares at 10.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1000.00 back, a profit of $900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $851.85 of that profit. Without it you would make $1751.85.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.2¢
- Implied chance
- 99.2%
- Return if right
- 0.8%
- Spread cost
- 86%
If you put in $100
You get 100.8 shares at 99.2¢ each.
NO wins: $100.81 back, a profit of $0.81. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Federal authorities investigating attorney, accountant linked to Epstein’s estate, source saysNBC News · 21h ago
- EXCLUSIVE: Ossoff challenged to return Epstein-linked donation or retract ‘Epstein class’ attackFox News · 1d ago
- Rosie O’Donnell Says ABC Blocked Her From Having Jeffrey Epstein Survivors on ‘Jimmy Kimmel Live’: ‘They Were Certain That Could Not Happen’Variety · 2d ago
- The House left town, but Hegseth impeachment, Epstein and a funding fight are waitingAxios · 6d ago
- Khanna, Massie say they can force another Epstein voteAxios · 6d ago
- Blanche warned of contempt risk in Epstein files caseAxios · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Epstein client list released by October 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities. A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity. The following will not qualify: - Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity. - Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein. - Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting. Note: References to suspects made internally by the US government over the course of its investigation do not alone constitute a qualifying "client list."