Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 06:35 PM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- SpaceX Stock Has Plunged 34%. Elon Musk's "Secret Master Plan" Points to What Could Come Next.Yahoo Finance · 5h ago
- Elon Musk Says This Is One of the Biggest Challenges for Public CompaniesYahoo Finance · 9h ago
- Elon Musk’s ambitious AI plans for SpaceX should be taken seriously, thanks to Microsoft, these analysts sayMarketWatch · 12h ago
- Kevin O'Leary Sat Out SpaceX's IPO— Now He's Plotting His Entry as Elon Musk's Empire Takes Shape: 'As the Stock Settles... I'll Be Watching Closely...'Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- SpaceX Has Reached the Moon, Just Not How Elon Musk Might Have Planned ItYahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Elon Musk's SpaceX Just Delivered Its First Earnings Report as a Public Company. Here's the 1 Number That Matters Most.Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 8 to August 1…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source: https://x.com/elonmusk
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