Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?

• Elon Musk Says China Is ‘By Far’ Strongest AI Competitor, Echoing 2011 Warning as SPCX Faces New Rocket RivalYahoo Finance · 1h ago
• Elon Musk Says mRNA Has ‘Tremendous’ Potential After Moderna, Merck Cancer Vaccine Breakthrough — MRNA Stock Falls Over 11% in Premarket (UPDATED)Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
• “I Warned Them. It Will Get Much Worse.” Elon Musk’s Stark Message for Delta Gains TractionYahoo Finance · 2d ago
• Elon Musk Says SpaceX Could Generate $1 Trillion in Revenue by 2030. Here Are 2 Companies That Could Get There FirstYahoo Finance · 2d ago
• Elon Musk's X is exploring stablecoins to pay influencers and content providersCoinDesk · 2d ago
• Elon Musk’s AI Startup Acquisition Fails to Land as Cognition Rebuffs SpaceX BuyoutYahoo Finance · 3d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Source: https://x.com/elonmusk