Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.6¢
- Implied chance
- 3.6%
- Return if right
- 2677.8%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 2777.8 shares at 3.6¢ each.
YES wins: $2777.78 back, a profit of $2677.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $120.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $2798.55.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.7¢
- Implied chance
- 96.7%
- Return if right
- 3.4%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 103.4 shares at 96.7¢ each.
NO wins: $103.41 back, a profit of $3.41. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 21, 05:31 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Elon Musk's X is exploring stablecoins to pay influencers and content providersCoinDesk · 1d ago
- Elon Musk’s AI Startup Acquisition Fails to Land as Cognition Rebuffs SpaceX BuyoutYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- EXCLUSIVE: Ross Gerber Says Tesla Could ‘Double’ Sales Without Elon Musk, Warns Investors on SpaceX MergerYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Elon Musk posted, and she lost her job. Now, she seeks to clear her name.The Washington Post · 2d ago
- Elon Musk Says Tesla Is ‘Most Made in America’ Car Brand as Trump Tariffs Shake Up Auto IndustryYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Elon Musk's 'Bank' Will Pay A Risk-Free 6% Yield On Your CashYahoo Finance · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Other outcomes in Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?
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