Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 19, 04:01 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Elon Musk's 'Bank' Will Pay A Risk-Free 6% Yield On Your CashYahoo Finance · 4h ago
- SpaceX Starship the talk of remote Australian island as Elon Musk’s engineers sent to retrieve itThe Guardian · 10h ago
- Elon Musk Says SpaceX Will Hit $1 Trillion in Revenue by 2030 -- 1 Year Faster Than the Original Timeline. Here's the Math Behind the New Number.Yahoo Finance · 22h ago
- Anthropic could beat Elon Musk's SpaceX for largest 2026 IPO, prediction markets showYahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Elon Musk made flying even worse so Palantir could profitThe Verge · 1d ago
- How Much SpaceX Stock Elon Musk Really Owns, and When Can He Sell?Yahoo Finance · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 17 to August …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source: https://x.com/elonmusk
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