Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 11:42 AM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- These analysts say Elon Musk’s ambitious AI plans for SpaceX should be taken seriously, thanks to MicrosoftMarketWatch · 2h ago
- Kevin O'Leary Sat Out SpaceX's IPO— Now He's Plotting His Entry as Elon Musk's Empire Takes Shape: 'As the Stock Settles... I'll Be Watching Closely...'Yahoo Finance · 19h ago
- Elon Musk Just Announced Major News for Nvidia ShareholdersYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Elon Musk issues red flag warning to group of SpaceX traders — but they keep doubling down. Are you making the same bet?Yahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Forget the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Capex Bubble: SpaceX CEO Elon Musk Says the Memory Shortage Will Drive Costs Even HigherYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- CEO Elon Musk Says This Is the Most Underappreciated Part of SpaceX's BusinessYahoo Finance · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 11 to August …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source: https://x.com/elonmusk
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