Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 12, 06:21 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Elon Musk Says AI Will Be SpaceX's Biggest Business by September: Does the Math Check Out?Yahoo Finance · 4h ago
- Wall Street’s Favorite Tesla Rumor Could Unlock $824 Billion Pay Day For Elon MuskYahoo Finance · 7h ago
- What to know about Elon Musk's massive $16.8 billion chip factoryABC News · 22h ago
- Elon Musk’s Newest Factory is 15X The Size of The Pentagon. Micron and Memory Stocks Should be Terrified.Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Elon Musk Says Memory Is Now AI's Biggest Bottleneck. Here's What That Means for Micron and Sandisk.Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Elon Musk Says SpaceX Will Consume Three Times More Terafab AI Compute Than TeslaYahoo Finance · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source: https://x.com/elonmusk
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