Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)

Q: Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 30%. A YES share costs 30.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 233.3% over 13h.

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage$41k liquidity$4k volumecloses 13h

EsportsDota 2GamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 30.0¢
Implied chance: 30.0%
Return if right: 233.3%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.

YES wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $244.83.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 72.0¢
Implied chance: 72.0%
Return if right: 38.9%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 138.9 shares at 72.0¢ each.

NO wins: $138.89 back, a profit of $38.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $40.85.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 06:36 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Team Spirit and Aurora in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit wins 2 or more games than Aurora in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://www.dotabuff.com