Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink - Game 1 Winner

Q: Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink - Game 1 Winner

Prediction markets currently price this at 52%. A YES share costs 52.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 92.3% over 6h.

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs$3k liquidity$0 volumecloses 5h

EsportsDota 2GamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 52.0¢
Implied chance: 52.0%
Return if right: 92.3%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.

YES wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16.03 of that profit. Without it you would make $108.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 56.0¢
Implied chance: 56.0%
Return if right: 78.6%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 178.6 shares at 56.0¢ each.

NO wins: $178.57 back, a profit of $78.57. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $13.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $92.31.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 11:11 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs No Hoodwink - Game 1 Winner”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Spirit Academy and No Hoodwink in the Asgard Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 11 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win Game 1 against No Hoodwink. This market will resolve to "No Hoodwink" if No Hoodwink win Game 1 against Spirit Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://www.dotabuff.com