Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Q: Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Prediction markets currently price this at 40%. A YES share costs 40.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 150.0% over 2d.

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs$62k liquidity$25k volumecloses 2d

EsportsDota 2GamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 40.0¢
Implied chance: 40.0%
Return if right: 150.0%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.

YES wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $153.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 61.0¢
Implied chance: 61.0%
Return if right: 63.9%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 163.9 shares at 61.0¢ each.

NO wins: $163.93 back, a profit of $63.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $65.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 18, 04:46 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Nigma Galaxy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://www.dotabuff.com