Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Level UP - Game 4 Winner

Q: Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Level UP - Game 4 Winner

Prediction markets currently price this at 51%. A YES share costs 51.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 96.1% over 6h.

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Level UP (BO5) - EPL Masters Playoffs$8k liquidity$4k volumecloses 2h

EsportsDota 2GamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 51.0¢
Implied chance: 51.0%
Return if right: 96.1%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.

YES wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $98.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 50.0¢
Implied chance: 50.0%
Return if right: 100.0%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 200.0 shares at 50.0¢ each.

NO wins: $200.00 back, a profit of $100.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $102.02.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 12, 04:25 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Level UP - Game 4 Winner”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Natus Vincere and Level UP in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 12 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 4 against Level UP. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 4 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://www.dotabuff.com