Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Q: Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Prediction markets currently price this at 46%. A YES share costs 46.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 117.4% over 10h.

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage$23k liquidity$52 volumecloses 10h

EsportsDota 2GamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 46.0¢
Implied chance: 46.0%
Return if right: 117.4%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 217.4 shares at 46.0¢ each.

YES wins: $217.39 back, a profit of $117.39. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $119.78.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 55.0¢
Implied chance: 55.0%
Return if right: 81.8%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 181.8 shares at 55.0¢ each.

NO wins: $181.82 back, a profit of $81.82. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $83.49.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 14, 07:31 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between LGD Gaming and Xtreme Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against Xtreme Gaming. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://www.dotabuff.com