Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 57.0¢
- Implied chance
- 57.0%
- Return if right
- 75.4%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 175.4 shares at 57.0¢ each.
YES wins: $175.44 back, a profit of $75.44. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $9.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $85.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 49.0¢
- Implied chance
- 49.0%
- Return if right
- 104.1%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 204.1 shares at 49.0¢ each.
NO wins: $204.08 back, a profit of $104.08. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $13.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $117.39.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Ends in Daytime54.0%
- Game 1 Winner49.5%
- Game 2 Winner48.5%
- O/U 2.5 Games49.5%
- Match Winner50.5%
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)25.0%
Latest: Aug 13, 10:22 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersHeadlines are matched on the names in “Game 3: Ends in Daytime?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market is about whether Game 3 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 14, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Other outcomes in Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
First Blood in Game 1?
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?