Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 10.0¢
- Implied chance
- 10.0%
- Return if right
- 900.0%
- Spread cost
- 22%
If you put in $100
You get 1000.0 shares at 10.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1000.00 back, a profit of $900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $250.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $1150.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.0¢
- Implied chance
- 94.0%
- Return if right
- 6.4%
- Spread cost
- 27%
If you put in $100
You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.
NO wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 14, 01:53 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Donald Trump imposes tariffs of up to 100% on imported dronesFrance 24 · 2h ago
- Donald Trump empowers US private companies to conduct cyber-attacksThe Guardian · 7h ago
- 'Profoundly corrupt': Trump sued over selling early access to Truth Social postsABC News · 1d ago
- Trump sued over service selling faster access to Truth Social postsNPR · 1d ago
- Trump Is Sued Over Plan to Sell Early Access to His Truth Social PostsThe New York Times · 1d ago
- Trump sued over "brazen" scheme to sell Truth Social API access for $100K a monthArs Technica · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 7…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump
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