Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

Q: Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 14%. A YES share costs 14.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 614.3% over 4d.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?$2k liquidity$4k volumecloses 4d

PoliticsTrumpTweet Markets

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 14.0¢
Implied chance: 14.0%
Return if right: 614.3%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.

YES wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $640.74.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 87.0¢
Implied chance: 87.0%
Return if right: 14.9%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.

NO wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.66 of that profit. Without it you would make $15.61.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 25, 01:31 AM4 further outcomes not shown

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump