Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
NO wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 18, 10:00 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Rosie O'Donnell’s return to late night reignites decades-old feud with Donald TrumpFox News · 7h ago
- Donald Trump Attacks CNN’s Kristen Holmes for Asking if He Spoke to North Korean Dictator: ‘You’re a Loud, Boisterous Person. Be Quiet!’Variety · 1d ago
- Donald Trump threatens to bomb Oman if it ‘gets in the way’ of ending Iran warThe Guardian · 1d ago
- President Donald Trump Claims Costs Are "All Coming Down Now," but the Evolution of Trumpflation Appears to Be Having the Opposite EffectYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Trump targets El-Sayed, WWII Memorial vandalism in string of Truth Social postsThe Hill · 3d ago
- Donald Trump's Latin America allies open arms to IsraelDeutsche Welle · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 1…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump
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