Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 14.0¢
- Implied chance
- 14.0%
- Return if right
- 614.3%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.
YES wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $54.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $669.23.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 88.0¢
- Implied chance
- 88.0%
- Return if right
- 13.6%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 113.6 shares at 88.0¢ each.
NO wins: $113.64 back, a profit of $13.64. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $14.94.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ICC body urges Chad and Venezuela to reverse course on withdrawalAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- US-backed Venezuela political transition talks begin without Nobel laureate MachadoFrance 24 · 4d ago
- US-backed Venezuela political transition talks begin without Nobel laureate MachadoFrance 24 · 4d ago
- Venezuela’s Response to Earthquakes Exposes Government’s ShortcomingsThe New York Times · 5d ago
- Venezuela’s Oil Production Grows at a Crucial Time Despite ChallengesYahoo Finance · 5d ago
- Demolition complicates the search for bodies after Venezuela’s earthquakesAl Jazeera · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Acting President Delcy Rodríguez ceases to be leader of Venezuela for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Delcy Rodríguez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Delcy Rodríguez and the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.