Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)

Q: Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 96%. A YES share costs 96.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 4.2% over 3d.

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$13 liquidity$0 volumecloses 3d

Esportscounter strike 2GamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 96.0¢
Implied chance: 96.0%
Return if right: 4.2%
Spread cost: 96%

If you put in $100

You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.

YES wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $95.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 96.0¢
Implied chance: 96.0%
Return if right: 4.2%
Spread cost: 96%

If you put in $100

You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.

NO wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $95.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 17, 04:12 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Natus Vincere and Legacy in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Natus Vincere's round total on Map 3 exceeds Legacy's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Legacy". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.

Source: https://hltv.org