Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

Q: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

Prediction markets currently price this at 57%. A YES share costs 57.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 75.4% over 17h.

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D$45k liquidity$64 volumecloses 17h

Esportscounter strike 2GamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 57.0¢
Implied chance: 57.0%
Return if right: 75.4%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 175.4 shares at 57.0¢ each.

YES wins: $175.44 back, a profit of $75.44. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $76.99.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 44.0¢
Implied chance: 44.0%
Return if right: 127.3%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 227.3 shares at 44.0¢ each.

NO wins: $227.27 back, a profit of $127.27. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $129.89.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 16, 12:22 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 2 match between TheMongolz and paiN in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 1 against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 1 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://hltv.org