Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)

Q: Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 62%. A YES share costs 62.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 61.3% over 12h.

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A$64k liquidity$69k volumecloses 12h

Esportscounter strike 2GamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 62.0¢
Implied chance: 62.0%
Return if right: 61.3%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 161.3 shares at 62.0¢ each.

YES wins: $161.29 back, a profit of $61.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $62.60.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 39.0¢
Implied chance: 39.0%
Return if right: 156.4%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 256.4 shares at 39.0¢ each.

NO wins: $256.41 back, a profit of $156.41. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $159.74.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 04:39 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Luminosity and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than Luminosity in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Luminosity". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://hltv.org