Will Sri Lanka win?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 19.0¢
- Implied chance
- 19.0%
- Return if right
- 426.3%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.
YES wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $29.24 of that profit. Without it you would make $455.56.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 83.0¢
- Implied chance
- 83.0%
- Return if right
- 20.5%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 120.5 shares at 83.0¢ each.
NO wins: $120.48 back, a profit of $20.48. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.47 of that profit. Without it you would make $21.95.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Sri Lanka Reducing Reliance on Foreign Debt, Short-Term BillsBloomberg · 1d ago
- Sri Lanka’s Hirdaramani Group eyes Egypt presence expansionYahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Sri Lanka prisoners riot leaving 3 dead, 23 injured in chaosAl Jazeera · 7d ago
- Greetings from a wildlife park in central Sri Lanka that's a haven for elephantsNPR · 8d ago
- Sri Lanka shuts schools as floods and mudslides kill 7Al Jazeera · 10d ago
- Jasprit Bumrah ruled out of Sri Lanka Test series due to injuryAl Jazeera · 11d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Sri Lanka win?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the cricket match between Sri Lanka and India scheduled for August 15 2026 in Test Match. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/