Will Australia win?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 74%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
YES wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 2.0¢
- Implied chance
- 2.0%
- Return if right
- 4900.0%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 5000.0 shares at 2.0¢ each.
NO wins: $5000.00 back, a profit of $4900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3695.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $8595.65.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Victorian Labor promises free dental care if re-elected in Australia-first moveThe Guardian · 10h ago
- UK, Canada and Australia condemn Israel for refusing criminal probe into aid worker killings in GazaBBC News · 13h ago
- ‘Shameful’: UK, Australia and Canada criticise Israel over Gaza aid convoy killings decisionThe Guardian · 15h ago
- Zurich Australia finalises $275m ClearView Wealth takeoverYahoo Finance · 15h ago
- Australia charges man for passing Ukrainian military intel to RussiaAl Jazeera · 20h ago
- Bangladesh expect ‘harder’ Australia challenge in second Test, says coachAl Jazeera · 20h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Australia win?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the cricket match between Australia and Bangladesh scheduled for August 21 2026 in Test Match. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/