Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 77.0¢
- Implied chance
- 77.0%
- Return if right
- 29.9%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 129.9 shares at 77.0¢ each.
YES wins: $129.87 back, a profit of $29.87. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.85 of that profit. Without it you would make $30.72.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 24.0¢
- Implied chance
- 24.0%
- Return if right
- 316.7%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 416.7 shares at 24.0¢ each.
NO wins: $416.67 back, a profit of $316.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $325.53.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on un…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Colorado Initiative 108 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require life in prison without parole or release for persons convicted of human trafficking a child for sexual servitude. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).