Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 24.0¢
- Implied chance
- 24.0%
- Return if right
- 316.7%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 416.7 shares at 24.0¢ each.
YES wins: $416.67 back, a profit of $316.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $37.88 of that profit. Without it you would make $354.55.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 80.0¢
- Implied chance
- 80.0%
- Return if right
- 25.0%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 125.0 shares at 80.0¢ each.
NO wins: $125.00 back, a profit of $25.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.21 of that profit. Without it you would make $28.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.)16.5%
- Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley)50.5%
- White Horse (Chris Stapleton)5.6%
- The Fall (Cody Johnson)13.1%
- Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves)4.3%
Latest: Oct 5, 04:11 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Taylor Swift at the 2026 MTV VMAs: Pop’s Biggest Star Accepts Top Prize and Inaugural Honor, Debuts “Patient Zero” Music VideoThe Hollywood Reporter · 7d ago
- Taylor Swift Premieres ‘Patient Zero’ Music Video at VMAs, Turning Her New ‘Showgirl: Encore’ Single Into a Dramatic Ghost StoryVariety · 7d ago
- Taylor Swift Debuts Music Video for New Single “Patient Zero” Starring Dakota Johnson and Colin Farrell at 2026 VMAsThe Hollywood Reporter · 7d ago
- Dakota Johnson on Being in Taylor Swift’s ‘Patient Zero’ Music Video: ‘We Respect Each Other’s Creative Minds’Variety · 10d ago
- Colin Farrell and Dakota Johnson to Star in Taylor Swift’s Music Video for “Patient Zero”The Hollywood Reporter · 11d ago
- Taylor Swift’s ‘Patient Zero’ Music Video, Starring Dakota Johnson and Colin Farrell, to Debut at VMAsVariety · 11d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Music Video of the Yea…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year. If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in CMA Music Video of the Year 2026
- Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
- Will “White Horse” by Chris Stapleton win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
- Will “The Fall” by Cody Johnson win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
- Will “Dry Spell” by Kacey Musgraves win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?