Clavicular in jail by September 30?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.2¢
- Implied chance
- 6.2%
- Return if right
- 1512.9%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 1612.9 shares at 6.2¢ each.
YES wins: $1612.90 back, a profit of $1512.90. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $273.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $1786.79.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 95.6¢
- Implied chance
- 95.6%
- Return if right
- 4.6%
- Spread cost
- 18%
If you put in $100
You get 104.6 shares at 95.6¢ each.
NO wins: $104.60 back, a profit of $4.60. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.60.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Clavicular Posts Video After Being Charged With Rape and Drugging: ‘Theres Better Ways to Make Money Then Suing Someone’Variety · 12d ago
- Girl accuses Braden Peters, social media influencer known as 'Clavicular,' of rapeNPR · 12d ago
- ‘Looksmaxxing’ influencer ‘Clavicular’ charged after teen alleges attack at family’s Cape Cod homeFox News · 12d ago
- Looksmaxxer Clavicular charged with rape, reports sayThe Hill · 13d ago
- "Looksmaxxing" influencer Clavicular charged with rape in MassachusettsCBS News · 13d ago
- ‘Looksmaxxing’ influencer Clavicular charged with rape and drug offensesThe Guardian · 13d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Clavicular in jail by September 30?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.