Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.0¢
- Implied chance
- 7.0%
- Return if right
- 1328.6%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 1428.6 shares at 7.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1428.57 back, a profit of $1328.57. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.70 of that profit. Without it you would make $1349.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 93.2¢
- Implied chance
- 93.2%
- Return if right
- 7.3%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 107.3 shares at 93.2¢ each.
NO wins: $107.30 back, a profit of $7.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.41.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin Price Slips While US Treasury Yields Soar, Oil Prices ClimbBitcoin Magazine · 5h ago
- $15.6 Billion in Bitcoin Options Expire Friday—Here's What It MeansDecrypt · 7h ago
- Borrow Against Your Bitcoin at a Fixed Rate: Coinbase Expands Morpho LoansDecrypt · 8h ago
- ‘BTC still has room to catch up’: Bitcoin’s $80,000 breakout draws institutional demand as analysts weigh durabilityThe Block · 9h ago
- Bitcoin Dips, But Its Forks Are Flying AgainDecrypt · 10h ago
- Bitcoin Dips, But Its Forks Are Flying AgainYahoo Finance · 10h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Source: https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams