Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.0¢
- Implied chance
- 1.0%
- Return if right
- 9900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.
YES wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin is flashing 8 of 12 capitulation signals, but bottom's not yet in, says VanEckCoinDesk · 38m ago
- Sweden’s H100 reports $26M H1 loss driven by falling Bitcoin valueCointelegraph · 1h ago
- Fed decision making comes into focus as bitcoin holds steady, bond yields surgeCoinDesk · 2h ago
- Bitcoin has ‘largely purged’ froth that preceded 50% drop from $126K: BlackRockCointelegraph · 2h ago
- Scaramucci points to $100,000 bitcoin as ‘magic number’ for OG sellers, eyes AI-blockchain convergenceThe Block · 3h ago
- Bitcoin stuck in a six-week range as global bond yields hit highest levels for decadesCoinDesk · 3h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Source: https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams