Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin vs XRP Since the 2025 Peak: Which Crypto Held Up Better?Yahoo Finance · 26m ago
- Bitcoin has gone quiet as traders chase ‘5x or 10x’ payoffs elsewhereCoinDesk · 42m ago
- Bitcoin Is Down but Asset’s Role as Global Monetary Alternative Remains, Says BlackrockBitcoin Magazine · 53m ago
- MARA Holdings Falls 5%, Riot Platforms Sinks 4% as Rates Outweigh a 35,577 Bitcoin TreasuryYahoo Finance · 57m ago
- Metaplanet expands Bitcoin treasury strategy to US with 2,100-BTC Nasdaq playCointelegraph · 1h ago
- Bitcoin and ethereum prices today, Tuesday, August 18, 2026: Crypto prices mixed as Iran stalemate continuesYahoo Finance · 2h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Source: https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams