Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.0¢
- Implied chance
- 1.0%
- Return if right
- 9900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.
YES wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Harvard leaves bitcoin ETF stake untouched in Q2 after cutting it 43% in the prior quarterThe Block · 57m ago
- Is Bitcoin a Buy at $63,000? We Asked 3 AI ModelsYahoo Finance · 2h ago
- Jim Cramer Is Selling His Bitcoin, Citing the Quantum Threat. Here's Why He's Wrong.Yahoo Finance · 3h ago
- Swiss mega-bank UBS ramps up its Bitcoin exposure with a massive 24-fold surge in ETF call optionsCoinDesk · 4h ago
- Why the world’s second-largest Bitcoin mining power is shutting down rigs in its capital cityCoinDesk · 4h ago
- Paul Tudor Jones’ investment firm increases stake in BlackRock's bitcoin ETF after year of sellingCoinDesk · 4h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Source: https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams