Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
BUY NO
- Cost
- 1.0¢
- Implied chance
- 1.0%
- Return if right
- 9900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.
NO wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Coldcard Bitcoin Thefts Slow, But Losses Could Top $150 Million: GalaxyDecrypt · 46m ago
- Riot Platforms sold 4,300 bitcoin in Q2 2026 earningsYahoo Finance · 52m ago
- Bitcoin Treasury Strategy Bites Back After MSCI Announces Possible Index RemovalBitcoin Magazine · 1h ago
- Israel’s Largest Bank Will Give Bitcoin Trading Another TryDecrypt · 1h ago
- Israel’s Largest Bank Will Give Bitcoin Trading Another TryYahoo Finance · 1h ago
- Israel’s largest bank taps Galaxy to offer bitcoin, ether and solana tradingThe Block · 1h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Source: https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams