Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.0¢
- Implied chance
- 1.0%
- Return if right
- 9900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.
YES wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin’s Bear Cycle Looks Familiar — And That Might Be the Bullish CaseBitcoin Magazine · 5m ago
- UBS Ups Bitcoin Position, Buys More Shares in BlackRock’s ETFBitcoin Magazine · 3h ago
- Forecasts for $1 million bitcoin price likely look too ambitious, key ratio suggestsCoinDesk · 4h ago
- Bitcoin Companies Want Help From AI Labs to Guard Against HackersDecrypt · 4h ago
- Data Breach at Trezor Leaks Info on Nearly 14,000 Bitcoin Wallet UsersBitcoin Magazine · 5h ago
- Metaplanet Denies Selling $320M in Bitcoin as Firm Launches BitBondsDecrypt · 5h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-30s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Source: https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-30s-streams