Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
BUY NO
- Cost
- 1.0¢
- Implied chance
- 1.0%
- Return if right
- 9900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.
NO wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Crypto-Backed Loans, Explained: How to Unlock Cash Without Selling Your BitcoinYahoo Finance · 40m ago
- Crypto-Backed Loans, Explained: How to Unlock Cash Without Selling Your BitcoinDecrypt · 40m ago
- BIP-110 failure shows Bitcoin would be ‘almost impossible to reproduce,’ Plan B Network director saysThe Block · 43m ago
- Bitcoin Yawns As Fed’s Favorite Inflation Gauge EasesBitcoin Magazine · 1h ago
- Why Bitcoin Barely Moved Even as US Inflation Cools to 3.4%Decrypt · 1h ago
- Bitcoin eyes $63K as US CPI relief sends September Fed rate pause odds to 60%Cointelegraph · 2h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-30s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Source: https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-30s-streams